The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Anguiano 35.1%
Draw 31.2%
Varea 33.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.6%
31%
28.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
33.1%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Anguiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anguiano's form might have worsened.
Varea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varea's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anguiano than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anguiano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varea than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Anguiano - Varea Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Fernandez I. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anguiano won 3.
In recent matches, Anguiano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Varea is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Anguiano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Anguiano could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Anguiano won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Anguiano won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).
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