Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 8

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Anguiano		River Ebro

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.33	6.25
	1.38	4.27	6.63
	1.38	4.45	6.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.57)	4.35 ↑ (3.76)	6.48 ↑ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anguiano
65.3%

Draw
20.8%

River Ebro
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

23.7%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

22.4%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anguiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Anguiano's performance.

River Ebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and River Ebro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anguiano than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Anguiano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Ebro than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 8).

Anguiano in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches River Ebro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

River Ebro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Anguiano is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Anguiano to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Anguiano won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Anguiano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Anguiano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
22.10.23	Calahorra B - Anguiano	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Peña Balsamaiso - Anguiano	5:5 ✺
01.10.23	Anguiano - Vianés	3:1 ✺
17.09.23	Anguiano - Varea	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Haro Deportivo - Anguiano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTWWW
- CA River Ebro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
22.10.23	River Ebro - Arnedo	2:1 ✺
15.10.23	Alberite - River Ebro	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Oyonesa - River Ebro	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	River Ebro - Comillas	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Berceo - River Ebro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
19.03.23	Anguiano - River Ebro	1:1
20.11.22	River Ebro - Anguiano	0:1
24.04.22	River Ebro - Anguiano	0:1
19.12.21	Anguiano - River Ebro	4:0

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