Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 8

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Eryaman Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Guzenge M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Ankaragücü		Kayserispor

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.2
	2.18	3.35	3.25	Watch
	2.24	3.47	3.42
	2.15	3.5	3.1
	2.15	3.54	3.18	Watch
	2.16	3.4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.43)	3.41 ↓ (3.54)	3.23 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ankaragücü
43.4%

Draw
27.5%

Kayserispor
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

26.7%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

28.4%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ankaragücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kayserispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	40%	13.3%

Ankaragücü - Kayserispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ankaragücü will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Kayserispor will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ankaragücü: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Gungordu B. (G) 77. Bilazer H. 26. Radakovic U. 18. Mujakic N. 5. Hanousek M. 30. Cigerci T. 29. Cephas R. 80. Morutan O. 10. Bekiroglu E. 11. Rodrigues G. 9. Bajic R.	25. Bayazit B. (G) 17. Uzodimma A. 3. Attamah J. 92. Jeanvier J. 23. Carole L. 8. Kayra Yilmaz K. 10. Kemen O. 28. Civelek R. 70. Boa Morte A. 20. Carlos Mane 9. Thiam M.
Substitutes
4. Cankaya A. R. 45. Cetin M. 7. Chatzigiovanis A. 16. Dokanovic A. 1. Gikiewicz R. (G) 23. Guneren A. K. 32. Macheda F. 8. Pedrinho 6. Turkmen C. 3. Uludag A.	89. Ackah Y. 13. Bahoken S. 5. Hosseini M. 33. Kaldirim H. A. 6. Karimi A. 54. Kocaman A. 4. Kolovetsios D. 1. Piri O. (G) 99. Sariarslan T. 11. Sazdagi G.
Coaches
Belozoglu E.	Ucar R.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ankaragücü won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ankaragücü will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ankaragücü: Sowe A. (Injury)

There will not play in Kayserispor: Cardoso M. (Ankle Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ankaragücü won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Ankaragücü won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish Super League
30.09.23	Galatasaray - Ankaragücü	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Ankaragücü - Konyaspor	1:1 ✺
18.09.23	Sivasspor - Ankaragücü	1:3 ✺
03.09.23	Ankaragücü - Fenerbahçe	0:1 ✺
27.08.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Ankaragücü	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTWLT
- Kayserispor
Turkish Super League
02.10.23	Kayserispor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Beşiktaş - Kayserispor	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Kayserispor - Gaziantep	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	Antalyaspor - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Kayserispor - Samsunspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
03.06.23	Kayserispor - Ankaragücü	0:1
08.01.23	Ankaragücü - Kayserispor	2:1
13.02.21	Kayserispor - Ankaragücü	0:0
02.10.20	Ankaragücü - Kayserispor	0:1
25.01.20	Kayserispor - Ankaragücü	1:1
24.08.19	Ankaragücü - Kayserispor	1:1
14.04.19	Kayserispor - Ankaragücü	0:2

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