Match Info

TURKEY: TURKISH CUP - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 27 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Eryaman Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Bahattin S. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Ankaragücü		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.2	1.5	Watch
	5.5	4.1	1.47
	6.1	4.5	1.47	Watch
	5.9	4.4	1.47
	6.43	4.54	1.5
	5.5	4.2	1.44
	6.09	4.45	1.48	Watch
	5.8	4.3	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.88 ↑ (4.6)	4.34 ↑ (4.2)	1.48 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ankaragücü
15.8%

Draw
21.4%

Fenerbahçe
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

22.4%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

21%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ankaragücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fenerbahçe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ankaragücü - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ozbir E. (G) 70. Kitsiou S. 26. Radakovic U. 45. Cetin M. 18. Mujakic N. 30. Cigerci T. 23. Guneren A. K. 80. Morutan O. 17. Saponara R. 7. Chatzigiovanis A. 22. Sowe A.	70. Egribayat I. C. (G) 16. Muldur M. 4. Aziz S. 19. Bonucci L. 21. Osayi-Samuel B. 26. Zajc M. 33. Krunic R. 20. Under C. 53. Szymanski S. 10. Tadic D. 23. Batshuayi M.
Substitutes
13. Bassogog C. 4. Cankaya A. R. 29. Cephas R. 19. Flips A. 99. Gungordu B. (G) 35. Karatas K. 32. Macheda F. 8. Pedrinho 11. Rodrigues G. 27. Unyay A.	6. Djiku A. 91. Dursun S. 9. Dzeko E. 7. Kadioglu F. 92. Karayazi E. 40. Livakovic D. (G) 24. Oosterwolde J. 50. Rodrigo Becao 8. Yandas M. H. 5. Yuksek I.
Coaches
Belozoglu E.	Kartal I.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ankaragücü won 0.

Ankaragücü is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fenerbahçe is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Fenerbahçe is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ankaragücü won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Ankaragücü won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish Super League
24.02.24	Kayserispor - Ankaragücü	3:2 ✺
18.02.24	Ankaragücü - Galatasaray	0:3 ✺
11.02.24	Konyaspor - Ankaragücü	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
06.02.24	Ankaragücü - 24 Erzincanspor	5:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
02.02.24	Ankaragücü - Sivasspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWT
- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
24.02.24	Fenerbahçe - Kasımpaşa	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Fenerbahçe	1:3 ✺
11.02.24	Fenerbahçe - Alanyaspor	2:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
07.02.24	Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
03.02.24	Antalyaspor - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
28.01.24	Fenerbahçe - Ankaragücü	2:1
03.09.23	Ankaragücü - Fenerbahçe	0:1
15.04.23	Fenerbahçe - Ankaragücü	2:1
17.10.22	Ankaragücü - Fenerbahçe	0:3
08.05.21	Ankaragücü - Fenerbahçe	1:2
18.01.21	Fenerbahçe - Ankaragücü	3:1
15.02.20	Ankaragücü - Fenerbahçe	2:1

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