Match Info

1. Lig - Round 38

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Eryaman Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Ankaragücü		Amed SK

	1	X	2
	1.67	4	3.9	Watch
	1.63	3.7	4.2
	1.68	3.81	4.28	Watch
	1.7	4.07	4.26
	1.68	4.04	4.53	Watch
	1.67	3.6	4.5
	1.68	4.14	4.31	Watch
	1.68	3.81	4.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.79)	3.9 ↑ (3.89)	4.28 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ankaragücü
54.9%

Draw
23.6%

Amed SK
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

24%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

24.4%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ankaragücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Amed SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amed SK than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Ankaragücü - Amed SK Predictions

Users Predictions: Ankaragücü will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ankaragücü will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Cihan G. (G) 16. Cokcalis I. 88. Celik O. 21. Tekdemir M. 26. Schulz N. 11. Dalcio 6. Turkmen C. 23. Guneren A. K. 22. Rotariu D. 7. Owusu 29. Cephas R.	31. Kardesler E. (G) 24. Tur B. 21. Yesil M. 15. Gezer U. 19. Bayram O. 65. Aydin O. 23. Ceylan Y. 11. Traore A. 18. Kurt S. 99. Fernando Andrade 27. Moreno D.
Substitutes
24. Aktas O. 9. Bajic R. 77. Bilazer H. 5. Coelho D. 28. Demir F. (G) 40. Gultekin Y. 94. Laura G. 3. Pehlivan I. 10. Rakoczy M. 90. Simsek M.	5. Acer M. 20. Adekanye B. 6. Cassubie Y. 4. Cetin V. 22. Davas D. 25. Keita C. 35. Koc A. 8. Lourenco B. 71. Poko A. 96. Sapan V. (G)
Coaches
Kaplan M.	Cetin S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Celik O. 🟨,
32', Moreno D. 🟨,
37', Celik O. ↓, Bilazer H. ↑,
45+7', 1 - 0, Dalcio ⚽, Owusu (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Cihan G. 🟥,
58', Cephas R. ↓, Demir F. ↑,
67', Ceylan Y. ↓, Adekanye B. ↑,
67', Aydin O. ↓, Cassubie Y. ↑,
72', Adekanye B. ↓, Keita C. ↑,
76', Rotariu D. ↓, Aktas O. ↑,
76', Turkmen C. ↓, Simsek M. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Simsek M. ⚽, Dalcio (A),
83', Fernando Andrade ↓, Koc A. ↑,
83', Kurt S. ↓, Lourenco B. ↑,
90', Owusu 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 9).

In recent matches, Ankaragücü has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Amed is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Ankaragücü is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Ankaragücü: Ersu E. (Arm Injury)

There will not play in Amed: Cekdar O. (Red Card) Lovric K. (Inactive) Ucar M. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ankaragücü won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ankaragücü won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish First League
04.05.25	Keçiörengücü - Ankaragücü	2:3 ✺
27.04.25	Ankaragücü - Çorum	1:0 ✺
18.04.25	Manisa FK - Ankaragücü	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Ankaragücü - Boluspor	2:2 ✺
09.04.25	Pendikspor - Ankaragücü	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLTL
- Amed SK
Turkish First League
04.05.25	Amed SK - Adanaspor	4:0 ✺
27.04.25	Umraniyespor - Amed SK	3:0 ✺
19.04.25	Amed SK - Çorum	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Şanlıurfaspor - Amed SK	0:1 ✺
08.04.25	Manisa FK - Amed SK	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
12.01.25	Amed SK - Ankaragücü	1:0
Turkish Cup
08.11.22	Ankaragücü - Amed SK	6:2
Turkish Second League Red Group
24.04.16	Ankaragücü - Amed SK	1:2
08.03.15	Ankaragücü - Amed SK	1:1

Upcoming Matches