Match Info

1. Lig - Round 12

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu (Manisa)

Referee: Aldemir M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Manisa FK		Amed SK

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.1	1.55	Watch
	4.79	4.33	1.53
	4.06	4.03	1.72	Watch
	4.88	4.21	1.59	Watch
	5.33	4	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.76 ↑ (4.06)	4.13 ↑ (4.03)	1.58 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manisa FK
19.4%

Draw
22.3%

Amed SK
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

23.1%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

22.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Amed SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amed SK than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Manisa FK - Amed SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Manisa will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Amed will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amed: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karakus V. (G) 2. Talum Y. 50. Gocmen B. 4. Herelle C. 19. Erdem U. 25. Cissokho M. 60. Toure B. 8. Yurdakul K. 10. Lindseth J. 41. Suleyman B. 9. Diony L.	31. Kardesler E. (G) 7. Ucar M. 3. Kaldirim H. A. 77. Hanalp C. 21. Yesil M. 17. Poko A. 15. Gezer U. 11. Traore A. 27. Moreno D. 5. Kurt S. 45. Diagne M.
Substitutes
22. Bodur S. (G) 27. Gureler Y. 35. Inal F. 17. Kahraman O. 36. Karabatak S. (G) 45. Karapo A. 37. Ozcelik C. 65. Sen A. 26. Yuce Y. 29. Yurtdas O.	33. Afena-Gyan F. 65. Aydin O. 10. Cekdar O. 47. Demirtas K. 13. Gulmez A. K. (G) 35. Kara A. 22. Kaya B. (G) 70. Koc A. 8. Kouyate C. 30. Tarhan Y.
Coaches
Taskin T.	Kaloglu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Kaldirim H. A. ↓, Koc A. ↑,
36', 0 - 1, Ucar M. ⚽, Koc A. (A),
43', Lindseth J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Erdem U. ↓, Karapo A. ↑,
48', Hanalp C. 🟨,
52', Poko A. 🟨,
56', Toure B. ↓, Yuce Y. ↑,
63', 0 - 2, Traore A. ⚽,
67', Karapo A. 🟨,
75', Moreno D. ↓, Afena-Gyan F. ↑,
75', Poko A. ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
76', Yurdakul K. ↓, Kahraman O. ↑,
80', Talum Y. ↓, Gureler Y. ↑,
84', Aydin O. 🟨,
86', Herelle C. 🟨,
87', Kurt S. ↓, Kara A. ↑,
88', Ucar M. ↓, Kouyate C. ↑,
89', 0 - 3, Afena-Gyan F. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent form of Manisa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Amed's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Amed may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Amed is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Manisa: Diony L. (Red Card)

There will not play in Amed: Saba D. (Yellow Cards) Sapan V. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Manisa: Ibik A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Amed: Bassan E. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 2.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Manisa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Amed SK - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 54.04%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manisa FK
Turkish Cup
29.10.25	Manisa FK - Muğlaspor	0:2 ✺
Turkish First League
25.10.25	Sarıyer - Manisa FK	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Manisa FK - Erzurumspor	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Çorum - Manisa FK	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Manisa FK - Bodrumspor	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTTLL
- Amed SK
Turkish Cup
29.10.25	Silifke - Amed SK	3:0 ✺
Turkish First League
26.10.25	Amed SK - İstanbulspor	0:0 ✺
20.10.25	Serik Belediyespor - Amed SK	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Amed SK - Keçiörengücü	4:1 ✺
29.09.25	Vanspor - Amed SK	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
08.04.25	Manisa FK - Amed SK	2:2
30.11.24	Amed SK - Manisa FK	3:2
Turkish Second League White Group
11.11.20	Amed SK - Manisa FK	3:4
24.11.19	Manisa FK - Amed SK	3:0

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