The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Umraniyespor 17.7%
Draw 25.4%
Erzurumspor 56.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.8%
28.4%
45.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.4%
27.9%
46.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Umraniyespor's form might have worsened.
Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Erzurumspor's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Umraniyespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Erzurumspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
2.9%
2.9%
94.1%
Umraniyespor - Erzurumspor Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1.5 - Umraniyespor (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Erzurumspor will win
(32 of 34 users predict this - 94.12%). Confidence interval (95%): 86.21% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Erzurumspor will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
35. Topaloglu C. (G) 81. Bulbul A. T. 14. Kocaturk Y. 44. Glumac T. (C) 75. Kaplan E. 8. Goksu S. 88. Djokanovic A. 20. Babacan A. 77. Benny 9. Celik B. 11. Ekincier B.
31. Orbanic M. (G) 53. Ovacikli O. 22. Yumlu M. (C) 3. Kirtay Y. 15. Giorbelidze G. 6. Baiye B. 99. Fettahoglu M. 24. Crociata G. 8. Akgun S. 65. Rodriguez M. 10. Tozlu E.
Substitutes
1. Adiyaman U. (G) 5. Aktas K. 10. Bardhi J. 4. Eser M. 17. Hoti E. 12. Kosoko T. 53. Oksuz B. 30. Sas Y. D. 70. Yildirim O. 59. Yilmaz Y.
11. Akpinar M. 1. Anapa E. (G) 23. Bayrak C. 19. Fernando Andrade 4. Gerxhaliu A. 16. Kabak A. 77. Keser B. 29. Sylla C. 2. Ulgen A. 9. Yener H.
Coaches
Acikgoz L.
Ozbalta S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
63', 1 - 0, Kaplan E. ⚽, Benny (A),
64', Fettahoglu M. ↓, Keser B. ↑,
64', Crociata G. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Kaplan E. ⚽, Glumac T. (A),
73', 3 - 0, Benny ⚽, Celik B. (A),
74', Ekincier B. ↓, Kosoko T. ↑,
74', Akgun S. ↓, Kabak A. ↑,
74', Giorbelidze G. ↓, Fernando Andrade ↑,
78', Babacan A. ↓, Hoti E. ↑,
78', Goksu S. ↓, Bardhi J. ↑,
80', Rodriguez M. ↓, Bayrak C. ↑,
84', Kaplan E. ↓, Yildirim O. ↑,
84', Benny ↓, Sas Y. D. ↑,
89', Bulbul A. T. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 1, Tozlu E. ⚽, Sylla C. (A),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umraniyespor won 1.
In recent matches, Umraniyespor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Erzurumspor is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Umraniyespor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Erzurumspor is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Erzurumspor: Ozhan F.
(Suspended)
Saglik S.
(Inactive)
Sasi F.
(Inactive)
Yigit E.
(Suspended)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Umraniyespor won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.4:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Umraniyespor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
Asia
Turkey
Watch
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Topaloglu C. (G) 
Glumac T. (C) 
Djokanovic A. 
Benny 
Giorbelidze G. 
Baiye B. 
Crociata G. 
Rodriguez M. 
Bardhi J. 
Hoti E. 
Kosoko T. 
Fernando Andrade 
Sylla C. 
