Match Info

Date: 27 December 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ankaraspor		Samsunspor

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.33	1.4	Watch
	6.5	3.9	1.45
	6.5	3.85	1.4
	6.2	4.1	1.43
	7.06	4.41	1.47
	7	4	1.44
	6.65	4.3	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.63 ↓ (6.63)	4.13 ↑ (3.87)	1.43 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ankaraspor
13.8%

Draw
22.2%

Samsunspor
64%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.8%

23.6%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.4%

19.5%

75.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ankaraspor have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankaraspor than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samsunspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	4.8%	78.6%

Ankaraspor - Samsunspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Samsunspor will win (33 of 42 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.16% – 90.98%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion to 1. Lig (Play Offs)).

Ankaraspor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Samsunspor is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Samsunspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ankaraspor have a series of guest games.

In this match Samsunspor is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ankaraspor won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ankaraspor won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ankaraspor
Turkish First League
19.12.20	Bandırmaspor - Ankaraspor	2:1 ✺
14.12.20	Ankaraspor - Umraniyespor	0:0 ✺
09.12.20	Altay - Ankaraspor	3:0 ✺
01.12.20	Menemenspor - Ankaraspor	2:1 ✺
28.11.20	Akhisar Belediyespor - Ankaraspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTLLW
- Samsunspor
Turkish First League
21.12.20	Samsunspor - Boluspor	1:0 ✺
15.12.20	Balikesirspor - Samsunspor	1:3 ✺
12.12.20	Bursaspor - Samsunspor	3:0 ✺
08.12.20	Samsunspor - Menemenspor	1:1 ✺
29.11.20	Samsunspor - Tuzlaspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
13.05.14	Ankaraspor - Samsunspor	1:1
09.05.14	Samsunspor - Ankaraspor	1:0
23.03.14	Ankaraspor - Samsunspor	0:0
06.11.13	Samsunspor - Ankaraspor	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ankaraspor
Turkish Cup
28.10.26	Ankaraspor - Kırklarelispor	✺
- Samsunspor
Turkish Super League
01.11.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Samsunspor	✺

Ankaraspor - Samsunspor