Match Info

Date: 16 January 2022, Sunday


	Balikesirspor		Samsunspor

	1	X	2
	7	4	1.44	Watch
	6.5	3.9	1.49
	6.1	3.75	1.45	Watch
	6.6	4	1.41
	6.99	4.36	1.47
	6.5	3.75	1.44
	6.9	4.05	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.66 ↑ (6.35)	3.97 ↑ (3.9)	1.45 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balikesirspor
13.8%

Draw
23.1%

Samsunspor
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.4%

23.4%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

19.8%

73.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balikesirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Balikesirspor than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samsunspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Balikesirspor - Samsunspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Balikesirspor has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Samsunspor is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Balikesirspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Samsunspor is indisputable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Balikesirspor won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Balikesirspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balikesirspor
Turkish First League
09.01.22	Boluspor - Balikesirspor	1:0 ✺
26.12.21	Eyüpspor - Balikesirspor	1:1 ✺
18.12.21	Balikesirspor - Altınordu	3:4 ✺
15.12.21	Bandırmaspor - Balikesirspor	3:0 ✺
11.12.21	Balikesirspor - Umraniyespor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LTLLL
- Samsunspor
Turkish Cup
29.12.21	Göztepe - Samsunspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish First League
26.12.21	Samsunspor - Tuzlaspor	2:2 ✺
20.12.21	İstanbulspor - Samsunspor	2:1 ✺
15.12.21	Samsunspor - Boluspor	1:1 ✺
12.12.21	Samsunspor - Ankaragücü	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
20.08.21	Samsunspor - Balikesirspor	3:1
10.04.21	Samsunspor - Balikesirspor	1:0
15.12.20	Balikesirspor - Samsunspor	1:3
24.02.18	Balikesirspor - Samsunspor	2:0
01.10.17	Samsunspor - Balikesirspor	2:1
03.04.17	Samsunspor - Balikesirspor	1:0
01.05.16	Balikesirspor - Samsunspor	1:0

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