Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 32

Date: 11 April 2023, Tuesday

Location: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu (Samsun)

Referee: Tonuslouglu D. (Tur)


	Samsunspor		Tuzlaspor

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.5	8.5	Watch
	1.23	6	10
	1.22	5.5	9
	1.24	6.32	11.31
	1.2	5.25	11
	1.21	6.25	11.25
	1.22	5.8	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.46)	5.8 ↑ (4.5)	10.09 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samsunspor
75.1%

Draw
15.8%

Tuzlaspor
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

20.7%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

19.4%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samsunspor's performance.

Tuzlaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tuzlaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samsunspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuzlaspor than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tuzlaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	5.3%	26.3%

Samsunspor - Tuzlaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Tuzlaspor will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 12).

Samsunspor is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Tuzlaspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tuzlaspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Samsunspor is absolute favorite.

There are questionable in Samsunspor: Ozbaskici M. A. (Ankle Injury) Taskin B. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Samsunspor won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Samsunspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samsunspor
Turkish First League
07.04.23	Göztepe - Samsunspor	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Samsunspor - Pendikspor	4:2 ✺
28.03.23	Boluspor - Samsunspor	1:5 ✺
24.03.23	Samsunspor - Altınordu	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Gençlerbirliği - Samsunspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWW
- Tuzlaspor
Turkish First League
07.04.23	Tuzlaspor - Denizlispor	3:0 ✺
02.04.23	Keçiörengücü - Tuzlaspor	0:1 ✺
25.03.23	Tuzlaspor - Göztepe	0:2 ✺
17.03.23	Altınordu - Tuzlaspor	2:1 ✺
11.03.23	Tuzlaspor - Boluspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
13.11.22	Tuzlaspor - Samsunspor	1:2
20.05.22	Tuzlaspor - Samsunspor	2:4
26.12.21	Samsunspor - Tuzlaspor	2:2
03.04.21	Tuzlaspor - Samsunspor	0:2
29.11.20	Samsunspor - Tuzlaspor	2:0

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