Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 9

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Annagh United		Institute FC

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.60	3.00
	1.95	3.65	3.15
	1.94	3.98	2.89
	1.97	3.96	3.07	Watch
	1.92	3.9	2.85
	1.87	3.74	3.74
	1.91	3.65	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.88)	3.78 ↑ (3.66)	3.11 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Annagh United
47%

Draw
23.9%

Institute FC
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

25%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

24.4%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Annagh United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Institute FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annagh United than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Institute FC than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Annagh United - Institute FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: ) and 7th in the Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Annagh won 3.

Annagh has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Institute is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Institute could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Annagh is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Annagh has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:19 (averaging 1.6:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Annagh against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:3 goals (averaging 1.6:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Annagh	10	6	3	1	24:13	11	21
5	Institute	10	5	1	4	20:17	3	16

Last Results with these Odds

Institute FC - the odds 3.48 are the expected chance of winning is 26.33%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Annagh United
Northern Irish Championship
18.09.26	Newry City - Annagh United	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Annagh United - Harland & Wolff Welders	3:1 ✺
04.09.26	Annagh United - Ards	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Annagh United - Moyola Park	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Dundela - Annagh United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWWT
- Institute FC
Northern Irish Championship
05.09.26	Rathfriland Rangers - Institute FC	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Institute FC - Newry City	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Queens University Belfast - Institute FC	4:1 ✺
15.08.26	Institute FC - Loughgall	0:0 ✺
11.08.26	Institute FC - Ballinamallard United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
17.02.26	Annagh United - Institute FC	3:1
15.11.25	Institute FC - Annagh United	1:0
27.09.25	Annagh United - Institute FC	2:0
22.03.25	Institute FC - Annagh United	2:6
02.11.24	Institute FC - Annagh United	0:0
13.04.24	Institute FC - Annagh United	0:2
13.01.24	Annagh United - Institute FC	0:0

Annagh United - Institute FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide