Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 8

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: The Showgrounds (Newry)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Nifl TV


	Newry City		Annagh United

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.30	1.98
	3.55	3.15	1.94
	3.18	3.49	1.95
	3.18	3.54	2.04	Watch
	3.10	3.45	1.93
	3.14	3.66	2.10
	3.25	3.30	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.29)	3.41 ↓ (3.7)	1.99 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newry City
28%

Draw
26.5%

Annagh United
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

24.6%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

24.1%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Annagh United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newry City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annagh United than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Newry City - Annagh United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 6th in the Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: ) and 3rd in the Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newry City won 1.

Newry City has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Annagh shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, Annagh has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Annagh holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Newry City has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:11 (averaging 1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Newry City against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:5 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Annagh	10	6	3	1	24:13	11	21
7	Newry City	10	4	3	3	16:18	-2	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newry City
Northern Irish Championship
11.09.26	Strabane Athletic - Newry City	2:2 ✺
04.09.26	Newry City - Armagh City	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Institute FC - Newry City	1:3 ✺
21.08.26	Newry City - Warrenpoint Town	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Newry City - Bangor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TTWLW
- Annagh United
Northern Irish Championship
12.09.26	Annagh United - Harland & Wolff Welders	3:1 ✺
04.09.26	Annagh United - Ards	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Annagh United - Moyola Park	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Dundela - Annagh United	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Annagh United - Ballymena United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
25.01.25	Annagh United - Newry City	4:0
29.11.24	Newry City - Annagh United	0:2
14.09.24	Annagh United - Newry City	1:0
Club Friendly
20.07.23	Newry City - Annagh United	2:0
Northern Irish Championship
09.04.22	Annagh United - Newry City	1:1
25.02.22	Newry City - Annagh United	0:3
03.12.21	Newry City - Annagh United	2:0

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