Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 16

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Annagh United		Knockbreda

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.25	8.75
	1.24	5.47	7.55
	1.25	5.47	7.55
	1.33	5	6
	1.23	5.65	8.9
	1.25	5.4	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.34)	5.37 ↑ (5)	7.89 ↑ (6.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Annagh United
71.8%

Draw
16.8%

Knockbreda
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

18%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

12.5%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Annagh United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Knockbreda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Annagh United than the current prediction. (-25.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Annagh United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Knockbreda than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Knockbreda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Annagh won 3.

Recent matches Annagh is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Knockbreda has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Annagh have a series of guest games.

In this match Annagh is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Annagh won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Annagh won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Annagh United
Northern Irish Championship
11.11.23	Harland & Wolff Welders - Annagh United	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Ballyclare Comrades - Annagh United	2:2 ✺
28.10.23	Newington - Annagh United	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	Ards - Annagh United	2:3 ✺
13.10.23	Annagh United - Ballinamallard United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLWT
- Knockbreda FC
Northern Irish Championship
11.11.23	Ards - Knockbreda	1:1 ✺
04.11.23	Knockbreda - Ballinamallard United	1:2 ✺
28.10.23	Portadown - Knockbreda	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	Knockbreda - Dundela	1:3 ✺
15.10.23	Knockbreda - Bangor	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
12.08.23	Knockbreda - Annagh United	0:1
21.01.23	Annagh United - Knockbreda	0:0
19.11.22	Knockbreda - Annagh United	1:1
13.08.22	Annagh United - Knockbreda	2:0
27.11.21	Annagh United - Knockbreda	4:1
10.08.21	Knockbreda - Annagh United	3:3
Northern Irish League Cup
03.08.21	Annagh United - Knockbreda	4:1

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