Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 21

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Newington		Annagh United

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.4	2.42
	2.49	3.46	2.34
	2.57	3.75	2.42	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.4
	2.55	3.36	2.36
	2.45	3.5	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (3.09)	3.45 ↓ (3.5)	2.39 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newington
35.9%

Draw
26.3%

Annagh United
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

26%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

26.3%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newington's performance.

Annagh United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Annagh United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newington than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newington that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annagh United than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Annagh United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Newington - Annagh United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newington won 0.

Newington has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Annagh is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Newington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Annagh could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Newington won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Newington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 1:2.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Annagh United - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 44.58%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newington FC
Northern Irish Championship
29.11.25	Newington - Institute FC	4:1 ✺
21.11.25	Ballinamallard United - Newington	3:3 ✺
15.11.25	Newington - Dundela	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Limavady United - Newington	3:2 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
04.11.25	Ballymena United - Newington	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTTLL
- Annagh United
Northern Irish Championship
13.12.25	Annagh United - Dundela	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Annagh United	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Annagh United - Ards	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Annagh United - Armagh City	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Institute FC - Annagh United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
30.08.25	Annagh United - Newington	2:1
18.01.25	Newington - Annagh United	0:3
08.11.24	Annagh United - Newington	2:0
10.08.24	Newington - Annagh United	0:3
16.03.24	Annagh United - Newington	2:0
28.10.23	Newington - Annagh United	3:0
02.09.23	Annagh United - Newington	0:3

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