Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 28

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	Ards		Knockbreda

	1	X	2
	1.26	5	9
	1.3	5.5	8
	1.22	6.15	7.7
	1.3	4.5	6
	1.33	5.28	7.79
	1.28	6	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.31)	5.41 ↑ (4.33)	7.52 ↓ (8.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ards
71%

Draw
16.8%

Knockbreda
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

20.9%

10.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

12.1%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Knockbreda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ards than the current prediction. (-30.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ards that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Knockbreda than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Knockbreda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ards - Knockbreda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Knockbreda is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ards won 3.

Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Knockbreda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Knockbreda have a series of home games.

In this match Ards is indisputable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Ards won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 35-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Ards won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ards FC
Northern Irish Championship
09.02.24	Bangor - Ards	3:1 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
03.02.24	Institute FC - Ards	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
27.01.24	Ards - Institute FC	2:2 ✺
19.01.24	Annagh United - Ards	2:0 ✺
13.01.24	Ards - Ballinamallard United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- Knockbreda FC
Northern Irish Championship
03.02.24	Ballinamallard United - Knockbreda	6:1 ✺
27.01.24	Knockbreda - Annagh United	1:4 ✺
20.01.24	Knockbreda - Newington	1:3 ✺
13.01.24	Knockbreda - Dundela	0:1 ✺
26.12.23	Knockbreda - Institute FC	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
11.11.23	Ards - Knockbreda	1:1
02.09.23	Knockbreda - Ards	2:3
18.03.23	Ards - Knockbreda	4:1
26.12.22	Knockbreda - Ards	3:2
08.10.22	Knockbreda - Ards	1:4
23.04.22	Knockbreda - Ards	2:1
19.03.22	Ards - Knockbreda	5:2

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