Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 26

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Maulí (Antequera)


	Antequera		Vélez

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.5	5.25
	1.5	3.5	6.25
	1.51	3.63	7.11
	1.52	3.58	6.7
	1.57	3.7	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.61)	3.58 ↑ (3.1)	6.1 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antequera
59.6%

Draw
25.5%

Vélez
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

28.7%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

27.5%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antequera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Vélez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Antequera - Vélez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Antequera won 1.

Antequera is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vélez is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Antequera is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Antequera won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Antequera won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antequera CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.03.23	Xerez Deportivo - Antequera	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Antequera - Sevilla B	0:2 ✺
26.02.23	Recreativo Huelva - Antequera	0:2 ✺
19.02.23	Antequera - Racing Cartagena MM	3:1 ✺
12.02.23	Cartagena B - Antequera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLWWW
- Vélez CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.03.23	Vélez - Cadiz CF B	4:1 ✺
05.03.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Vélez	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Vélez - Betis B	2:4 ✺
19.02.23	San Roque de Lepe - Vélez	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Vélez - Yeclano Deportivo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.10.22	Vélez - Antequera	1:0
01.05.22	Vélez - Antequera	1:1
12.12.21	Antequera - Vélez	3:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
31.01.21	Antequera - Vélez	0:1
01.11.20	Vélez - Antequera	1:1
02.02.20	Antequera - Vélez	2:1
13.01.19	Vélez - Antequera	2:1

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