The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Antigua GFC 72.7%
Draw 17.6%
Suchitepéquez 9.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.9%
20.9%
11.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71%
20%
10.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Antigua GFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Suchitepéquez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suchitepéquez than the current prediction. (+1%)
Antigua GFC - Suchitepéquez Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Moran L. (G) 4. Carbonell J. 17. Castellanos O. 19. Espinoza J. 81. Fajardo W. 7. Galvez J. 15. Maziero A. 2. Melendez J. 21. Robinson A. 6. Rosales J. 24. Zuniga S.
. Artola C. 8. de Leon E. 14. Diaz W. 10. Gonzalez F. 21. Icute M. 7. Lezcano A. 15. Madrid C. 17. Rivas M. 1. Secaida J. 4. Torres Chavez V. G. 18. Zamorano A.
Substitutes
77. Camargo E. 20. Colindres J. 22. Franco J. 5. Garcia A. 34. Lopez K. J. 10. Mora I. 72. Moreno Alfaro J. E. (G) 27. Palencia D. 54. Sagastume S.
70. de Leon F. 22. Delgado J. (G) 13. Galindo A. 6. Herrera D. 24. Matul J. 99. Montano Cardenas F. A. 35. Rivera E. 5. Rodas D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Carbonell J. 🟨,
21', Lezcano A. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Maziero A. ⚽,
35', Castellanos O. 🟨,
41', Madrid C. 🟨,
45+2', Icute M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Carbonell J. ↓, Lopez K. J. ↑,
46', Galvez J. ↓, Palencia D. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Gonzalez F. ⚽,
55', 1 - 2, Zamorano A. ⚽,
57', Espinoza J. ↓, Camargo E. ↑,
59', 2 - 2, Lopez K. J. ⚽,
65', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
68', 3 - 2, Camargo E. ⚽,
69', Maziero A. ↓, Franco J. ↑,
74', Castellanos O. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
77', Gonzalez F. ↓, Galindo A. ↑,
77', de Leon E. ↓, Herrera D. ↑,
77', Artola C. ↓, Montano Cardenas F. A. ↑,
85', Lezcano A. ↓, de Leon F. ↑,
90+2', Rosales J. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antigua won 4.
Recent performances by Antigua have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Suchitepéquez is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Antigua is the clear favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Antigua won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 1.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Antigua won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 2:0.8).
Mexico
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Moran L. (G) 
Maziero A. 
Robinson A. 
Torres Chavez V. G. 
Camargo E. 
Lopez K. J. 
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