The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Antoniano 41.5%
Draw 28.7%
Sevilla B 29.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31%
29.1%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.1%
28.1%
38.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Antoniano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Antoniano's performance.
Sevilla B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sevilla B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antoniano than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Antoniano that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla B than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sevilla B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Antoniano - Sevilla B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Marquez R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
49', 1 - 1, Pedraza J. ⚽,
51', 1 - 2, Fattore V. ⚽,
54', 1 - 3, Fattore V. ⚽,
63', 2 - 3, Galvez P. ⚽,
64', 3 - 3, Raposo N. ⚽,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 10th).
Antoniano is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Sevilla B has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Antoniano is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Antoniano has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:3 (averaging 1.7:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Antoniano against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:0 goals (averaging 2.5:0 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Sevilla FC B
8
3
3
2
14:12
2
12
18
Antoniano
8
0
3
5
6:17
-11
3
Last Results with these Odds
Sevilla B - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.99%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.