Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 23

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Antoniano		Estepona

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.88	3.35
	2.37	2.85	3.45
	2.31	2.81	3.36	Watch
	2.2	2.75	3.4
	2.26	2.75	3.42
	2.33	2.71	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.04)	2.79 ↓ (3.2)	3.4 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antoniano
40.3%

Draw
32.8%

Estepona
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.2%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

28.1%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antoniano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antoniano than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Antoniano - Estepona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Herrero A. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Titi (Own goal),
45', 1 - 2, Herrero A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
84', Otero M. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Estepona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Antoniano might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antoniano won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Antoniano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	CD Estepona	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7
18	Antoniano	5	0	2	3	2:7	-5	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Antoniano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.02.26	Puente Genil - Antoniano	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Antoniano - Xerez CD	3:2 ✺
18.01.26	La Unión - Antoniano	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Antoniano - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Yeclano Deportivo - Antoniano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWTWL
- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.02.26	Estepona - Xerez CD	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Real Jaén - Estepona	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Estepona - Malaga B	3:1 ✺
18.01.26	Recreativo Huelva - Estepona	5:0 ✺
11.01.26	Estepona - Minera	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.11.25	Estepona - Antoniano	1:2
06.04.25	Estepona - Antoniano	1:3
24.11.24	Antoniano - Estepona	2:1
21.04.24	Antoniano - Estepona	0:0
10.12.23	Estepona - Antoniano	3:0

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