Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 21

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Antoniano		Vélez

	1	X	2
	1.12	7.25	15.5
	2.15	3	3.6	Watch
	1.09	6.5	12.5
	1.1	6.98	13.84
	1.33	4.5	9.55
	2.15	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (2.45)	5.21 ↑ (2.88)	9.77 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antoniano
69.5%

Draw
19.9%

Vélez
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

30.8%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

31%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antoniano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+33.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Antoniano's performance.

Vélez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vélez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antoniano than the current prediction. (-33.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Antoniano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (+22.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vélez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Antoniano - Vélez Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Antoniano will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Vélez will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 7).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Antoniano is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Antoniano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Antoniano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.01.24	Sevilla B - Antoniano	3:0 ✺
21.01.24	Antoniano - San Roque de Lepe	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Racing Cartagena MM - Antoniano	0:1 ✺
07.01.24	Linense - Antoniano	4:2 ✺
17.12.23	Antoniano - Cadiz CF B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWLT
- Vélez CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.01.24	Vélez - Cartagena B	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Orihuela - Vélez	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Vélez - El Palo	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Vélez - UCAM Murcia	3:1 ✺
17.12.23	Marbella - Vélez	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.09.23	Vélez - Antoniano	2:1

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