Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 9

Date: 18 June 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Anápolis		Ceilândia

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.5
	1.8	3.2	4.1
	1.92	2.96	3.98
	1.91	2.8	4
	1.88	3.13	4.3
	1.87	3.1	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.13)	3.05 ↓ (5.5)	4.01 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anápolis
47.9%

Draw
29.6%

Ceilândia
22.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

16.2%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

15.7%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anápolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Anápolis's performance.

Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ceilândia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anápolis than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ceilândia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Anápolis - Ceilândia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Anápolis will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ceilândia will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Anápolis is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Ceilândia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Anápolis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Anápolis is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Anápolis won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Anápolis won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anápolis FC
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.23	Interporto - Anápolis	0:0 ✺
10.06.23	Anápolis - Interporto	7:0 ✺
07.06.23	Ceilândia - Anápolis	1:1 ✺
03.06.23	Anápolis - União Rondonópolis	1:0 ✺
27.05.23	Operário Ltda - Anápolis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWTWT
- Ceilândia
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.23	Ceilândia - Operário Ltda	0:0 ✺
11.06.23	Operário Ltda - Ceilândia	2:2 ✺
07.06.23	Ceilândia - Anápolis	1:1 ✺
03.06.23	Brasiliense - Ceilândia	0:0 ✺
27.05.23	Ceilândia - Interporto	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
07.06.23	Ceilândia - Anápolis	1:1
04.06.22	Ceilândia - Anápolis	1:2
30.05.22	Anápolis - Ceilândia	2:0
25.06.17	Anápolis - Ceilândia	2:0
21.05.17	Ceilândia - Anápolis	1:0

Anápolis - Ceilândia