Match Info

Serie D - Round 6

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Ceilândia		Operário Ltda

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.25	4.33
	1.72	3.25	4.55
	1.75	3.15	4.66
	1.78	3.15	4.84
	1.73	3	4.6
	1.72	3.14	4.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.57)	3.16 ↓ (3.6)	4.66 ↓ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceilândia
52%

Draw
28.6%

Operário Ltda
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

25.5%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

24.3%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ceilândia's form might have worsened.

Operário Ltda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ceilândia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ltda than the current prediction. (-4%)

Ceilândia - Operário Ltda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Gabriel Mineiro ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Recent performances by Ceilândia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Operário Ltda has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Ceilândia is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceilândia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ceilândia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceilândia
Brazilian Serie D
03.05.26	Operário Ltda - Ceilândia	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Ceilândia - Capital CF Ltda	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Ceilândia - União Rondonópolis	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Goiatuba - Ceilândia	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Ceilândia - Mixto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLT
- Operário FC Ltda
Brazilian Serie D
03.05.26	Operário Ltda - Ceilândia	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	União Rondonópolis - Operário Ltda	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Operário Ltda - Mixto	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Capital CF Ltda - Operário Ltda	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Operário Ltda - Goiatuba	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
03.05.26	Operário Ltda - Ceilândia	0:1
14.06.23	Ceilândia - Operário Ltda	0:0
11.06.23	Operário Ltda - Ceilândia	2:2
03.07.22	Operário Ltda - Ceilândia	1:2
30.04.22	Ceilândia - Operário Ltda	3:0

Ceilândia - Operário Ltda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide