The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brasiliense 52.7%
Draw 27.5%
Ceilândia 19.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.8%
27.2%
22%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53%
26.1%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brasiliense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasiliense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Brasiliense - Ceilândia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
85', 2 - 1, ⚽,
88', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brasiliense won 2.
Brasiliense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ceilândia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Brasiliense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Ceilândia has had a series of home games.
In this match, Brasiliense is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brasiliense won 12 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 33:12. (average 1.7:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Brasiliense won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 1.9:0.5).
Watch
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