Match Info

BRAZIL: Goiano - Round 11

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Jonas Duarte (Anápolis)


	Anápolis		Goianésia

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.2	4.5
	1.71	3.15	4.62
	1.71	3.33	4.91	Watch
	1.73	3.2	5
	1.7	3.38	5.05
	1.72	3.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.49)	3.24 ↓ (3.7)	4.76 ↓ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anápolis
52.9%

Draw
28%

Goianésia
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

24.5%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

23.8%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anápolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anápolis's form might have worsened.

Goianésia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anápolis than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anápolis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goianésia than the current prediction. (-5%)

Anápolis - Goianésia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paulo Henrique (G) 14. Andre 10. Ariel 6. Caxambu 11. Erick 2. Fabio 29. Igor Cassio 3. Igor Souza 7. Matheus Lagoa 18. Pepe 4. Victor Oliveira (C)	1. Matheus Cabral (G) 7. Andre Oliveira 2. Everton Silva 6. Ian Barreto 9. Jackson Vinicius 5. Jo 3. Luiz (C) 10. Matos dos Santos Junior E. 11. Sandrinho 8. Tabata 4. Tiburcio
Substitutes
16. Cazzetta 9. Joao Celeri 17. Johnatan Cardoso 21. Kadu 30. Lucao 19. Marcao 15. Pedro Thomaz 32. Rafael Mineiro 33. Renan Cocao 22. Rubinho 12. Samuel Deuner (G) 8. Vini Locatelli	12. Dida (G) 14. Diego Petrin 17. Hiago 15. Kaua 20. Leo Carvalho 13. Leo Kanu 16. Moura 21. Ricardinho 19. Uederson 18. Vinicius Boff

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Andre 🟨,
17', Sandrinho 🟨,
21', Sandrinho ↓, Uederson ↑,
37', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
40', Luiz 🟥,
45+3', Victor Oliveira 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Igor Cassio ↓, Joao Celeri ↑,
46', Matheus Lagoa ↓, Johnatan Cardoso ↑,
46', Erick ↓, Kadu ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Andre ⚽,
54', Andre Oliveira ↓, Leo Kanu ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Ariel ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, Jackson Vinicius (Pen),

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Goiano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Anápolis is Qualified for Goiano (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Anápolis won 3.

Anápolis is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Goianésia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Anápolis is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Anápolis to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Anápolis won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.4:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Anápolis won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anápolis FC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
16.02.25	Atlético Goianiense - Anápolis	1:0 ✺
12.02.25	Anápolis - Inhumas	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Anápolis - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	ABECAT Ouvidorense - Anápolis	0:2 ✺
29.01.25	Anápolis - Goiânia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWW
- Goianésia
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
16.02.25	Goianésia - Goiás	1:1 ✺
13.02.25	Goiânia - Goianésia	1:3 ✺
09.02.25	Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano - Goianésia	2:0 ✺
05.02.25	Goianésia - ABECAT Ouvidorense	3:0 ✺
02.02.25	Goianésia - Aparecidense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
17.01.24	Goianésia - Anápolis	1:0
12.02.23	Goianésia - Anápolis	2:0
05.03.22	Goianésia - Anápolis	2:3
25.01.22	Anápolis - Goianésia	2:0
08.03.20	Anápolis - Goianésia	2:1
26.01.20	Goianésia - Anápolis	2:1
22.03.17	Anápolis - Goianésia	1:0

Anápolis - Goianésia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide