Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Jonas Duarte (Anápolis)


	Anápolis		Itabuna

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.25	4.8
	1.68	3.3	5
	1.66	3.2	5.32
	1.74	3.27	4.81	Watch
	1.57	3.3	5
	1.65	3.35	5.22
	1.68	3.3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.77)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)	5.02 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anápolis
54.4%

Draw
27.6%

Itabuna
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

28.3%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

31.2%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anápolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Itabuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anápolis than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabuna than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Anápolis - Itabuna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Gonzalo Fornari ⚽,
89', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Anápolis is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Anápolis won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anápolis FC
Brazilian Serie D
28.07.24	Itabuna - Anápolis	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Anápolis - Brasiliense	0:2 ✺
13.07.24	Mixto - Anápolis	1:1 ✺
07.07.24	Anápolis - Capital FC	3:1 ✺
29.06.24	Anápolis - Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTWT
- Itabuna EC
Brazilian Serie D
28.07.24	Itabuna - Anápolis	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Noroeste - Itabuna	3:2 ✺
13.07.24	Itabuna - Ipatinga	0:0 ✺
06.07.24	Audax Rio - Itabuna	0:1 ✺
03.07.24	Itabuna - Portuguesa RJ	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
28.07.24	Itabuna - Anápolis	1:0

Anápolis - Itabuna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide