Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 11

Date: 3 July 2024, Wednesday


	Itabuna		Portuguesa RJ

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.8	2.35
	3.25	2.8	2.3
	3.57	2.46	2.29
	3.54	2.65	2.34	Watch
	3.54	2.68	2.27
	3.25	2.8	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.6)	2.7 ↓ (3)	2.31 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itabuna
27.1%

Draw
33.6%

Portuguesa RJ
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

30.2%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

30.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itabuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Itabuna's form might have worsened.

Portuguesa RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabuna than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itabuna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portuguesa RJ, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Itabuna - Portuguesa RJ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Itabuna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Itabuna won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Itabuna EC
Brazilian Serie D
22.06.24	Nova Iguaçu - Itabuna	1:0 ✺
16.06.24	Serra - Itabuna	0:2 ✺
13.06.24	Itabuna - Democrata SL	1:1 ✺
09.06.24	Democrata SL - Itabuna	0:2 ✺
02.06.24	Itabuna - Serra	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWTWW
- Portuguesa RJ
Brazilian Serie D
22.06.24	Portuguesa RJ - Audax Rio	3:0 ✺
19.06.24	Democrata SL - Portuguesa RJ	0:0 ✺
12.06.24	Portuguesa RJ - Serra	1:1 ✺
08.06.24	Serra - Portuguesa RJ	1:2 ✺
04.06.24	Portuguesa RJ - Democrata SL	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
18.05.24	Portuguesa RJ - Itabuna	1:1

Itabuna - Portuguesa RJ: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide