Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 12

Date: 6 July 2024, Saturday


	Audax Rio		Itabuna

	1	X	2
	7.25	4.5	1.33
	6	4.2	1.44
	7.39	4.34	1.32
	8.93	4.48	1.33	Watch
	8.5	4.75	1.25
	8.25	4.9	1.3
	6	4.2	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.47 ↑ (4.52)	4.48 ↑ (3.38)	1.34 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audax Rio
12.2%

Draw
20.3%

Itabuna
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

27%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

30.3%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audax Rio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Audax Rio's form might have worsened.

Itabuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Itabuna's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Rio than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Audax Rio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabuna than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Itabuna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Audax Rio - Itabuna Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Audax Rio will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Itabuna will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 🟥,
60', 🟥,
90+9', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Audax Rio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Itabuna is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Audax Rio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Audax Rio
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
03.07.24	Audax Rio - Serrano FC	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
29.06.24	Audax Rio - Nova Iguaçu	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
26.06.24	Artsul - Audax Rio	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
22.06.24	Portuguesa RJ - Audax Rio	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
19.06.24	Audax Rio - Cabofriense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWLW
- Itabuna EC
Brazilian Serie D
03.07.24	Itabuna - Portuguesa RJ	0:0 ✺
22.06.24	Nova Iguaçu - Itabuna	1:0 ✺
16.06.24	Serra - Itabuna	0:2 ✺
13.06.24	Itabuna - Democrata SL	1:1 ✺
09.06.24	Democrata SL - Itabuna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
12.05.24	Itabuna - Audax Rio	1:0

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