Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 11

Date: 1 July 2023, Saturday


	Anápolis		Operário Ltda

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	2.65
	2.33	2.92	2.6
	2.33	3.1	2.99
	2.35	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.59)	3.13 ↓ (3.29)	2.76 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anápolis
39.3%

Draw
28.4%

Operário Ltda
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

26.6%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

27%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anápolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anápolis's form might have worsened.

Operário Ltda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Operário Ltda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anápolis than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anápolis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ltda than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Operário Ltda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	22.2%	55.6%

Anápolis - Operário Ltda Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Anápolis will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Operário Ltda will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Operário Ltda: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Recent matches Anápolis is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Operário Ltda is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Anápolis will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Anápolis won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Anápolis won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anápolis FC
Brazilian Serie D
24.06.23	União Rondonópolis - Anápolis	0:0 ✺
18.06.23	Anápolis - Ceilândia	0:1 ✺
14.06.23	Interporto - Anápolis	0:0 ✺
10.06.23	Anápolis - Interporto	7:0 ✺
07.06.23	Ceilândia - Anápolis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLTWT
- Operário FC Ltda
Brazilian Serie D
25.06.23	Iporá - Operário Ltda	0:2 ✺
18.06.23	Operário Ltda - Interporto	6:0 ✺
14.06.23	Ceilândia - Operário Ltda	0:0 ✺
11.06.23	Operário Ltda - Ceilândia	2:2 ✺
07.06.23	Interporto - Operário Ltda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
27.05.23	Operário Ltda - Anápolis	1:1
10.07.22	Anápolis - Operário Ltda	0:1
23.04.22	Operário Ltda - Anápolis	0:0

Anápolis - Operário Ltda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide