Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 18

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Vila Mítica (Lousada)


	Aparecida		Beira-Mar

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.98	2.15
	3.15	2.82	2.31
	3.18	2.92	2.29	Watch
	3	2.75	2.3
	3.2	2.86	2.28
	3.2	2.83	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (3.15)	2.86 ↓ (3.13)	2.26 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aparecida
28.5%

Draw
31.6%

Beira-Mar
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

29.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

28.1%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aparecida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Beira-Mar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecida than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beira-Mar than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Aparecida - Beira Mar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
28', 1 - 2, ⚽,
43', 1 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 1 - 4, ⚽,
66', 1 - 5, ⚽,
89', 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Recent performances by Aparecida have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Beira-Mar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Beira-Mar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aparecida won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Beira Mar	4	0	3	1	4:6	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aparecida FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.02.26	Anadia - Aparecida	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Aparecida - Gouveia	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	União Lamas - Aparecida	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Aparecida - Alpendorada	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Aparecida - Cinfães	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWTWL
- SC Beira-Mar
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.02.26	Beira-Mar - Resende	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Salgueiros 08 - Beira-Mar	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Vila Meã - Beira-Mar	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Beira-Mar - Anadia	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Beira-Mar - Gouveia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.09.25	Beira-Mar - Aparecida	2:0

Aparecida - Beira-Mar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide