Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 13

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Vila Mítica (Lousada)


	Aparecida		Cinfães

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.15
	3.36	3	2.16	Watch
	3.25	2.9	2.15
	3.25	3.02	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.59)	2.98 ↓ (3.25)	2.16 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aparecida
27.7%

Draw
30.3%

Cinfães
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

27.9%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

27%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aparecida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Cinfães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecida than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cinfães than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cinfães could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aparecida - Cinfães Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', 0 - 3, ⚽,
66', 0 - 4, ⚽,
73', 1 - 4, ⚽,
80', 🟥,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 9)

Aparecida is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cinfães is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cinfães may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cinfães is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aparecida FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.12.25	Florgrade - Aparecida	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Aparecida - Leça	3:4 ✺
29.11.25	Vila Real - Aparecida	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Aparecida - Rebordosa	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Aparecida - Vila Meã	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW
- Cinfães
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.12.25	Cinfães - Resende	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Salgueiros 08 - Cinfães	0:0 ✺
01.12.25	Cinfães - Beira-Mar	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Anadia - Cinfães	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Cinfães - Gouveia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWLW

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