Match Info
Serie D - Round 12Date: 12 July 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Annibal Batista de Toledo (Aparecida de Goiânia)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Aparecidense |
|
Goianésia |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.34 |
4.5 |
7 |
|
 |
1.27 |
4.75 |
9 |
|
 |
1.21 |
5.05 |
11.36 |
|
 |
|
|
|
 Watch |
 |
1.25 |
4.95 |
10.3 |
|
 |
1.4 |
4.17 |
6.12 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.29 ↓
(1.4) |
4.68 ↑
(4.25) |
8.76 ↑
(6.25) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Aparecidense
70.2% | Draw
19.4% | Goianésia
10.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aparecidense's performance.Goianésia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goianésia than the current prediction. (+3.2%)Aparecidense - Goianésia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Wesley ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', 1 - 1, Kaio Nunes ⚽,
- 71', 2 - 1, Joao Marcos (Pen),
- 76', 🟥,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7). Aparecidense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aparecidense won 3.Aparecidense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Goianésia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Aparecidense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Aparecidense is the obvious favorite.We predict that Aparecidense will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Aparecidense won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.2:0.5).Including home matches between the teams, Aparecidense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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