Match Info
Serie D - Round 8Date: 24 May 2026, SundayLocation: Passo das Emas (Lucas do Rio Verde)
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 |
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 |
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Luverdense |
|
Aparecidense |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.05 |
2.88 |
3.55 |
|
 |
2.06 |
2.89 |
3.84 |
|
 |
2.24 |
2.74 |
3.63 |
 Watch |
 |
1.95 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
|
 |
2.01 |
3.16 |
3.9 |
|
 |
1.6 |
3.55 |
4.9 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.6) |
3.02 ↓
(3.55) |
3.92 ↓
(4.9) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Luverdense
46.2% | Draw
30.4% | Aparecidense
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luverdense's form might have worsened.Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luverdense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aparecidense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Luverdense - Aparecidense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+7', 1 - 0, Pedro Bortoluzo ⚽,
Preview
Recent form of Luverdense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Aparecidense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). Luverdense could have a small edge in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Luverdense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).Including home match between the teams, Luverdense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 18.04.26 | Aparecidense - Luverdense | 0:1 | | 07.06.25 | Luverdense - Aparecidense | 3:1 | | 31.05.25 | Aparecidense - Luverdense | 4:1 |
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