Match Info

Serie D - Round 11

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Annibal Batista de Toledo (Aparecida de Goiânia)


	Aparecidense		Porto Velho

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.75	7.25
	1.42	4.05	6.3
	1.42	4.2	6.83
				Watch
	1.37	4.2	7.6
	1.29	4.73	7.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.24)	4.39 ↓ (5.6)	7.07 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aparecidense
66.5%

Draw
20.7%

Porto Velho
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.7%

16.1%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aparecidense's form might have worsened.

Porto Velho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Aparecidense - Porto Velho Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Porto Velho (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto Velho (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, ⚽,
33', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
53', 4 - 0, ⚽,
72', 5 - 0, ⚽,
74', 6 - 0, ⚽,
80', 🟥,
89', 7 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7).

Aparecidense is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Porto Velho is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Aparecidense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aparecidense is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aparecidense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Aparecidense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie D
29.06.25	Goiânia - Aparecidense	0:3 ✺
14.06.25	Aparecidense - Ceilândia	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Luverdense - Aparecidense	3:1 ✺
31.05.25	Aparecidense - Luverdense	4:1 ✺
24.05.25	Ceilândia - Aparecidense	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWLWW
- Porto Velho EC
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.25	Porto Velho - Luverdense	0:0 ✺
07.06.25	Ceilândia - Porto Velho	3:0 ✺
31.05.25	Porto Velho - Ceilândia	0:2 ✺
24.05.25	Luverdense - Porto Velho	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Goianésia - Porto Velho	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
07.08.21	Porto Velho - Aparecidense	0:2
03.07.21	Aparecidense - Porto Velho	0:1

Aparecidense - Porto Velho: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide