Match Info

BRAZIL: GOIANO - ROUND 8

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday


	Aparecidense		Morrinhos

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.2
	1.75	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.69	3.2	4.09
	1.79	3.25	4.55
	1.77	3.4	4.56
	1.75	3.4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.69)	3.31 ↑ (3.3)	4.48 ↓ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aparecidense
52.1%

Draw
27.6%

Morrinhos
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

27.7%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

20.4%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Morrinhos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aparecidense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morrinhos than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Aparecidense - Morrinhos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Goiano 2).

Recent matches Aparecidense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Morrinhos is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Aparecidense is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aparecidense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Aparecidense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
07.02.24	Aparecidense - Goianésia	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Anápolis - Aparecidense	4:0 ✺
31.01.24	Vila Nova - Aparecidense	3:1 ✺
27.01.24	Aparecidense - Goiás	1:1 ✺
24.01.24	Aparecidense - Atlético Goianiense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLLTW
- Morrinhos FC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
07.02.24	Morrinhos - Goiás	0:3 ✺
04.02.24	Jataiense - Morrinhos	2:2 ✺
31.01.24	Iporá - Morrinhos	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Morrinhos - Goianésia	0:1 ✺
24.01.24	Morrinhos - Goiânia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
01.02.23	Aparecidense - Morrinhos	2:1

Aparecidense - Morrinhos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide