Match Info

Date: 23 September 2020, Wednesday


	Apollon Limassol		Lech Poznań

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.75
	2.6	3.15	2.8	Watch
	2.65	3.2	2.55
	2.73	3.3	2.67
	2.62	3	2.6	Watch
	2.66	3.26	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.24)	3.17 ↑ (3.11)	2.65 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apollon Limassol
35.4%

Draw
29.4%

Lech Poznań
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

29.8%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

21.6%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apollon Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Apollon Limassol's form might have worsened.

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lech Poznań's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apollon Limassol than the current prediction. (+21.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Apollon Limassol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lech Poznań, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.1%	4.3%	56.5%

Apollon Limassol - Lech Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Apollon Limassol will win (votes: 18 - 39.1%). Lech will win (votes: 26 - 56.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 42.2% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Apollon Limassol in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Lech is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apollon Limassol
Cypriot First Division
20.09.20	Anorthosis - Apollon Limassol	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.20	OFI - Apollon Limassol	0:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
12.09.20	Apollon Limassol - Paphos	1:0 ✺
30.08.20	Ermis Aradippou - Apollon Limassol	0:6 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.20	Apollon Limassol - Iberia 1999	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW
- Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.09.20	Lech Poznań - Warta Poznań	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.20	Hammarby - Lech Poznań	0:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
12.09.20	Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań	3:3 ✺
30.08.20	Lech Poznań - Wisła Płock	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.20	Lech Poznań - Valmiera	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTTW

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