Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 25

Date: 15 March 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion Poznan (Poznań)

Referee: Jakubik K. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Poland	Canal+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Lech Poznań		Warta Poznań

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	6	Watch
	1.63	3.3	6.25
	1.57	3.75	6	Watch
	1.67	3.57	7.06
	1.63	3.57	7.06
	1.6	3.25	6
	1.62	3.5	6.17	Watch
	1.63	3.35	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.53)	3.49 ↓ (3.9)	6.27 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań
58%

Draw
27%

Warta Poznań
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

23%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

23.9%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76%	8%	16%

Lech Poznań - Warta Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 19 - 76%). Warta will win (votes: 4 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 59.3% – 92.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Mrozek B. (G) 2. Pereira J. 18. Salamon B. (C) 23. Blazic M. 5. Andersson E. 50. Ba Loua A. 22. Murawski R. 10. Marchwinski F. 11. Velde K. 8. Gholizadeh A. 17. Szymczak F.	33. Grobelny J. (G) 4. Stavropoulos D. 44. Szymonowicz D. (C) 14. Tiru B. 20. Mezghrani M. 16. Luis M. 6. Zurawski M. 22. Matuszewski K. 7. Szmyt K. 9. Eppel M. 47. Prikryl T.
Substitutes
35. Bednarek F. (G) 44. Czerwinski A. 3. Douglas B. 19. Dziuba M. 15. Gurgul M. 30. Kvekveskiri N. 16. Milic A. 74. Paclawski N.	3. Kielb J. 21. Kupczak M. 1. Lis A. (G) 8. Maenpaa N. 25. Paszkowski J. 24. Rychlik P. 77. Savic S. 11. Tonder F. 29. Vizinger D.
Coaches
Rumak M.	Szulczek D.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lech won 5.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Lech is a favorite.

There will not play in Lech: Dagerstal F. (Injury)

There will not play in Warta: Przybylko K. (Injury) Zrelak A. (Knee Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Lech won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Lech won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
09.03.24	Górnik Zabrze - Lech Poznań	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań	4:0 ✺
Polish Cup
27.02.24	Lech Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin	0:1 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.02.24	Lech Poznań - Śląsk Wrocław	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Lech Poznań	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLTW
- Warta Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.03.24	Warta Poznań - ŁKS Łódź	0:1 ✺
01.03.24	Cracovia - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
26.02.24	Warta Poznań - Radomiak Radom	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.02.24	Warta Poznań - Noteć Czarnków	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
17.02.24	Ruch Chorzów - Warta Poznań	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
17.09.23	Warta Poznań - Lech Poznań	0:2
08.04.23	Lech Poznań - Warta Poznań	2:0
18.09.22	Warta Poznań - Lech Poznań	0:1
14.05.22	Warta Poznań - Lech Poznań	1:2
28.11.21	Lech Poznań - Warta Poznań	2:0
26.02.21	Warta Poznań - Lech Poznań	1:2
20.09.20	Lech Poznań - Warta Poznań	1:0

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