Match Info

Date: 24 February 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Aprilia		Castelfidardo

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.5
	2.45	3.15	2.55
	2.45	3.1	2.65
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.6	3.08	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 (2.5)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	2.57 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aprilia
36.1%

Draw
28.8%

Castelfidardo
35.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

20.6%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aprilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aprilia than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aprilia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castelfidardo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aprilia - Castelfidardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion to Serie D to Group A).

Recent matches Aprilia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castelfidardo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aprilia
Italian Serie D - Group F
21.02.21	Campobasso - Aprilia	1:0 ✺
14.02.21	Cynthialbalonga - Aprilia	0:0 ✺
07.02.21	Aprilia - Montegiorgio	2:1 ✺
03.02.21	Aprilia - Olympia Agnonese	4:0 ✺
31.01.21	Pineto - Aprilia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LTWWT
- Castelfidardo Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
21.02.21	Castelfidardo - Montegiorgio	3:0 ✺
10.02.21	Notaresco - Castelfidardo	1:1 ✺
03.02.21	Castelfidardo - Pineto	2:1
31.01.21	Giulianova - Castelfidardo	2:3 ✺
27.01.21	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Castelfidardo	4:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WTWWL

Aprilia - Castelfidardo

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Aprilia - Castelfidardo Predictions

Preview

Form

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