Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 4

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday


	Notaresco		Castelfidardo

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.8	6.5
	1.57	3.46	6.14	Watch
	1.43	3.6	8.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (2.22)	3.62 ↑ (3.2)	6.93 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Notaresco
61.6%

Draw
25.2%

Castelfidardo
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

28.1%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Notaresco's performance.

Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castelfidardo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Notaresco - Castelfidardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Pistillo D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notaresco won 4.

Castelfidardo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Notaresco won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Notaresco won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notaresco Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
14.09.25	Notaresco - Atletico Ascoli	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Recanatese - Notaresco	1:4 ✺
11.05.25	Notaresco - Civitanovese	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Notaresco - Chieti	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Teramo - Notaresco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.5 TWWWW
- Castelfidardo Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
21.09.25	Castelfidardo - L Aquila	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Teramo - Castelfidardo	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Castelfidardo - Fermana	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Ancona - Castelfidardo	0:4 ✺
17.04.25	Avezzano - Castelfidardo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
23.03.25	Notaresco - Castelfidardo	1:0
10.11.24	Castelfidardo - Notaresco	2:1
30.03.22	Notaresco - Castelfidardo	3:0
26.01.22	Castelfidardo - Notaresco	0:1
11.04.21	Castelfidardo - Notaresco	1:2
10.02.21	Notaresco - Castelfidardo	1:1

Notaresco - Castelfidardo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide