Match Info

Date: 3 April 2022, Sunday


	Castelfidardo		Montegiorgio

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.6
	2.5	2.9	2.75
	2.44	2.79	2.71
	2.4	2.9	2.75
	2.55	2.93	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.4)	2.92 ↓ (3.2)	2.73 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castelfidardo
36.5%

Draw
30.7%

Montegiorgio
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.1%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

28.8%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Montegiorgio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montegiorgio than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Castelfidardo - Montegiorgio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Castelfidardo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Castelfidardo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Castelfidardo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castelfidardo Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
30.03.22	Notaresco - Castelfidardo	3:0 ✺
27.03.22	Castelfidardo - Sambenedettese	0:0 ✺
13.03.22	Matese - Castelfidardo	2:1 ✺
06.03.22	Castelfidardo - Chieti	3:0 ✺
27.02.22	Castelfidardo - Vastese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLWT
- ASD Montegiorgio
Italian Serie D - Group F
27.03.22	Fano - Montegiorgio	1:1 ✺
06.03.22	Porto DAscoli - Montegiorgio	3:1 ✺
02.03.22	Montegiorgio - Trastevere	0:0 ✺
20.02.22	Roma City - Montegiorgio	0:3 ✺
13.02.22	Montegiorgio - Recanatese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
21.11.21	Montegiorgio - Castelfidardo	0:1
21.02.21	Castelfidardo - Montegiorgio	3:0
27.09.20	Montegiorgio - Castelfidardo	2:0
23.12.18	Montegiorgio - Castelfidardo	2:1

Castelfidardo - Montegiorgio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide