Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 27

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	Aprilia		Romana

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.45
	2.66	3.08	2.48
	2.6	3.1	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (3.24)	3.06 ↑ (2.96)	2.49 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aprilia
34.4%

Draw
29.5%

Romana
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

29.7%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

31.6%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aprilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aprilia's performance.

Romana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Romana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aprilia than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aprilia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Romana than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Romana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out) and 6).

Aprilia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lupa Roma is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lupa Roma will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Aprilia won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Aprilia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aprilia
Italian Serie D - Group G
05.03.23	Paganese - Aprilia	1:0 ✺
26.02.23	Aprilia - Sarrabus Ogliastra	1:2 ✺
19.02.23	Ilvamaddalena - Aprilia	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Aprilia - Nola	1:3 ✺
05.02.23	Aprilia - Palmese 1914	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTLT
- Romana FC
Italian Serie D - Group G
05.03.23	Romana - Angri	1:2 ✺
26.02.23	Portici - Romana	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Romana - Casertana	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Atletico Uri - Romana	2:2 ✺
05.02.23	Romana - Arzachena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
06.11.22	Romana - Aprilia	3:1
07.10.18	Romana - Aprilia	0:0
07.01.18	Romana - Aprilia	1:1
03.09.17	Aprilia - Romana	2:2

Aprilia - Romana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide