Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 25

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday


	Aprilia		Sarrabus Ogliastra

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.95	2.75
	2.3	3.1	2.85
	2.34	3.04	2.82
	2.42	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.4)	3.02 ↑ (3)	2.81 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aprilia
38.2%

Draw
29.8%

Sarrabus Ogliastra
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

30%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

29%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aprilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Sarrabus Ogliastra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aprilia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarrabus Ogliastra than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Aprilia - Sarrabus Ogliastra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out)).

Recent matches Aprilia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sarrabus Ogliastra is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aprilia
Italian Serie D - Group G
19.02.23	Ilvamaddalena - Aprilia	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Aprilia - Nola	1:3 ✺
05.02.23	Aprilia - Palmese 1914	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Sorrento - Aprilia	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Aprilia - Portici	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLTWT
- Sarrabus Ogliastra
Italian Serie D - Group G
19.02.23	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Angri	2:1 ✺
12.02.23	Portici - Sarrabus Ogliastra	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Casertana	0:1 ✺
28.01.23	Atletico Uri - Sarrabus Ogliastra	3:0 ✺
22.01.23	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Vis Artena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLT

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