Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 26

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Marcello Torre (Pagani)


	Paganese		Aprilia

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	5.75
	1.41	4.08	6.44
	1.5	4.2	5
	1.43	4.2	6.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.55)	4.12 ↑ (3.89)	5.97 ↑ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paganese
62.8%

Draw
22%

Aprilia
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

23.4%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

22.4%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Aprilia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aprilia than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Paganese is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paganese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
26.02.23	Ilvamaddalena - Paganese	0:4 ✺
19.02.23	Paganese - Portici	3:0 ✺
11.02.23	Palmese 1914 - Paganese	3:1 ✺
05.02.23	Paganese - Atletico Uri	0:3 ✺
29.01.23	Angri - Paganese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLT
- Aprilia
Italian Serie D - Group G
26.02.23	Aprilia - Sarrabus Ogliastra	1:2 ✺
19.02.23	Ilvamaddalena - Aprilia	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Aprilia - Nola	1:3 ✺
05.02.23	Aprilia - Palmese 1914	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Sorrento - Aprilia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
30.10.22	Aprilia - Paganese	0:1

Paganese - Aprilia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide