Match Info
Serie D - Round 4Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Araguaína |
|
Independência |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.7 |
3.2 |
4.75 |
|
 |
1.72 |
3.35 |
5.01 |
|
 |
1.73 |
3.24 |
4.96 |
 Watch |
 |
1.73 |
3 |
4.6 |
|
 |
1.77 |
3.33 |
4.93 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.6) |
3.22 ↓
(3.41) |
4.85 ↓
(5.2) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Araguaína
52.8% | Draw
28.3% | Independência
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Araguaína has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Independência has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araguaína than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Araguaína, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independência than the current prediction. (-2.5%)Araguaína - Independência Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 0, Douglas Rocha Araujo M. ⚽,
- 79', 1 - 1, Caique Gomes (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Araguaína is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Independência has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Independência may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Araguaína is a strong favorite.We predict that Araguaína will win today's game, with odds of 1.56. Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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