Match Info
Serie D - Round 1Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Guaporé |
|
Independência |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.47 |
3.55 |
6.9 |
|
 |
1.49 |
3.6 |
7.07 |
|
 |
1.5 |
3.55 |
7.13 |
 Watch |
 |
1.5 |
3.25 |
7 |
|
 |
1.46 |
3.5 |
7.65 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.92) |
3.49 ↑
(3.11) |
7.15 ↑
(3.83) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Guaporé
61.2% | Draw
26% | Independência
12.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaporé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guaporé's performance.Independência has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independência might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaporé than the current prediction. (-12.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guaporé that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independência than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independência could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Guaporé - Independência Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Preview
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Guaporé may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Guaporé will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guaporé won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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