Match Info

BFL - Round 8

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday


	Arambagh Krira Sangha		Bangladesh Police

	1	X	2
	17	6.9	1.09
	15.04	5.98	1.17	Watch
	21	6.5	1.13
	13	7.53	1.15
	15	6	1.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	16.21 ↑ (5)	6.58 ↑ (3.6)	1.14 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arambagh Krira Sangha
5.6%

Draw
13.9%

Bangladesh Police
80.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

24.5%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.7%

23.3%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arambagh Krira Sangha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arambagh Krira Sangha's form might have worsened.

Bangladesh Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bangladesh Police's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arambagh Krira Sangha than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arambagh Krira Sangha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangladesh Police than the current prediction. (-19.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bangladesh Police, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Arambagh Krira Sangha - Bangladesh Police Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Arambagh will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Bangladesh Police will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bangladesh Police (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 - Bangladesh Police (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1, 2nd Half - Bangladesh Police (2.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75, 1st Half - Bangladesh Police (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Bangladesh Police (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hossen A. (G) 2. Rahad K. 24. Sakhawat I. 4. Chakma N. 3. Rocky M. (C) 20. Islam S. 8. Lantei-Mills S. 12. Uddin N. 7. Denapo Y. 9. Bappy A. 26. Shawon M.	1. Tushar R. (G) 2. Hossen I. 71. Danilo Quipapa (C) 77. Kumar Roy J. 33. Rahman A. 8. Kagimu S. 10. Tshering O. 6. Darboe F. 28. Amirul Islam M. 19. Ghalan A. 11. Rabbi Hossen Rahul M.
Substitutes
13. Ahamed S. 32. Ahmad S. 70. Alam D. 15. Ali A. 39. Cishty A. 21. Fahim S. 18. Hasan R. 16. Mithu U. F. 22. Ranu M. (G) 44. Ritchil S. 69. Ritu M. 31. Salim M. (G)	15. Ahmed S. 55. Al Amin M. 66. Bhuiyan A. (G) 88. Hossain A. 4. Islam R. 22. Jubed D. (G) 18. Moin M. I. 14. Mollah M. 12. Nipu S. Z. 34. Nirob S. 96. Rahman S. 24. Roy D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
36', 0 - 1, Ghalan A. ⚽, Kagimu S. (A),
42', 0 - 2, Amirul Islam M. ⚽, Hossen I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 3, Ghalan A. ⚽, Kagimu S. (A),
63', Kumar Roy J. ↓, Hossain A. ↑,
63', Rabbi Hossen Rahul M. ↓, Nipu S. Z. ↑,
75', Tshering O. ↓, Ahmed S. ↑,
75', Amirul Islam M. ↓, Al Amin M. ↑,
82', Tushar R. ↓, Bhuiyan A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 and 4).

Arambagh has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bangladesh Police's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Bangladesh Police has had a series of away games.

In this match, Bangladesh Police is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arambagh won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Arambagh won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arambagh Krira Sangha
Bangladesh BFL
20.12.25	Mohammedan - Arambagh Krira Sangha	1:1 ✺
Bangladesh Federation Cup
16.12.25	Arambagh Krira Sangha - Fortis	0:4 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
06.12.25	Rahmatganj - Arambagh Krira Sangha	3:0 ✺
Bangladesh Federation Cup
02.12.25	Arambagh Krira Sangha - Bangladesh Police	0:1 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
28.11.25	Arambagh Krira Sangha - Fortis	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLLL
- Bangladesh Police FC
Bangladesh BFL
20.12.25	Bangladesh Police - Bashundhara Kings	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	PWD SC - Bangladesh Police	0:0 ✺
Bangladesh Federation Cup
02.12.25	Arambagh Krira Sangha - Bangladesh Police	0:1 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
28.11.25	Abahani Limited - Bangladesh Police	2:0 ✺
24.11.25	Fortis - Bangladesh Police	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Bangladesh Federation Cup
02.12.25	Arambagh Krira Sangha - Bangladesh Police	0:1
Bangladesh BFL
19.08.21	Bangladesh Police - Arambagh Krira Sangha	1:0
25.02.21	Arambagh Krira Sangha - Bangladesh Police	1:2
Bangladesh Federation Cup
21.12.19	Bangladesh Police - Arambagh Krira Sangha	3:1

Arambagh Krira Sangha - Bangladesh Police: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide