Match Info

BFL - Round 16

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Arambagh Krira Sangha		Mohammedan

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.45	1.37
	7.1	4.5	1.38	Watch
	7	4	1.36
	4.91	4.48	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.38 ↑ (5.7)	4.36 ↑ (4.22)	1.41 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arambagh Krira Sangha
14.3%

Draw
20.9%

Mohammedan
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

21.6%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

20.9%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arambagh Krira Sangha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Mohammedan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arambagh Krira Sangha than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mohammedan than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Arambagh Krira Sangha - Mohammedan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hossen A. (G) 3. Rocky M. (C) 6. Quansah B. 24. Sakhawat I. 4. Chakma N. 26. Shawon M. 8. Lantei-Mills S. 55. Khan S. R. 12. Uddin N. 9. Bappy A. 11. Kizito K.	1. Hossain S. (C) 2. Topu S. A. 6. Mia R. 44. Keke E. 3. Hasan Shanta M. J. 21. Hossain S. 16. Jewel M. 7. Rakib M. 11. Hossain A. 10. Boateng S. 18. Ahmed R.
Substitutes
13. Ahamed S. 33. Ahamed T. (G) 50. Ahammed A. 30. Alam M. 18. Hasan R. 80. Islam M. 20. Islam S. 14. Joy Tanchangy S. 23. Mali A. 16. Mithu U. F. 22. Ranu M. (G) 44. Ritchil S.	31. Alam M. 22. Al-Hasan S. (G) 24. Asif A. 28. Babu H. R. 26. Haque A. 4. Hasan M. 35. Mehedi Hasan M. 25. Raju N. 30. Siddique T. (G) 23. Tudu R. 9. Uddin R. 14. Ur Rashid M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Chakma N. 🟨,
30', Bappy A. ↓, Joy Tanchangy S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Khan S. R. ↓, Islam S. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Ahmed R. ⚽,
72', Boateng S. ↓, Uddin R. ↑,
72', Hossain S. ↓, Asif A. ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Uddin R. ⚽, Hossain A. (A),
78', Uddin N. ↓, Ahamed S. ↑,
78', Shawon M. ↓, Islam M. ↑,
85', Hossain A. ↓, Tudu R. ↑,
85', Rakib M. ↓, Hasan M. ↑,
90', Keke E. ↓, Ur Rashid M. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mohammedan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mohammedan is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arambagh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Mohammedan	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
7	Arambagh	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arambagh Krira Sangha
Bangladesh BFL
30.04.26	Brothers Union - Arambagh Krira Sangha	2:2 ✺
24.04.26	Arambagh Krira Sangha - Rahmatganj	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Fortis - Arambagh Krira Sangha	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Bashundhara Kings - Arambagh Krira Sangha	2:1 ✺
Bangladesh Federation Cup
07.04.26	Arambagh Krira Sangha - Bashundhara Kings	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.9 TWTLL
- Mohammedan Dhaka
Bangladesh Federation Cup
05.05.26	Rahmatganj - Mohammedan	0:3 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
30.04.26	Mohammedan - Bashundhara Kings	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	PWD SC - Mohammedan	1:3 ✺
17.04.26	Mohammedan - Fakirerpool YMC	0:1 ✺
10.04.26	Abahani Limited - Mohammedan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Bangladesh BFL
20.12.25	Mohammedan - Arambagh Krira Sangha	1:1
01.05.21	Mohammedan - Arambagh Krira Sangha	2:1

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