Match Info

BFL - Round 15

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium (Mymensingh)


	Mohammedan		Bashundhara Kings

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.65	3.6	1.78	Watch
	3.79	3.8	1.79	Watch
	4.01	3.7	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↓ (4.45)	3.7 ↑ (3.45)	1.76 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mohammedan
23.8%

Draw
24.6%

Bashundhara Kings
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

26.1%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

25.7%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mohammedan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Bashundhara Kings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mohammedan than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bashundhara Kings than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Mohammedan - Bashundhara Kings Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hossain S. (G) 2. Topu S. A. 44. Keke E. 6. Mia R. 3. Hasan Shanta M. J. 16. Jewel M. 21. Hossain S. 17. Muzaffarov M. (C) 7. Rakib M. 10. Boateng S. 18. Dewan S.	1. Rahman A. (G) 12. Ghosh B. 4. Barman T. (C) 22. Uddin S. 6. Rana M. S. 7. Hossain R. 11. Fahim M. 17. Rana S. 14. Roy C. 71. Hossain R. 9. Dorielton
Substitutes
27. Abedin Dipu J. 24. Asif A. 28. Babu H. R. 26. Haque A. 4. Hasan M. 33. Hossain Mahin I. (G) 35. Mehedi Hasan M. 25. Raju N. 30. Siddique T. (G) 23. Tudu R. 9. Uddin R. 14. Ur Rashid M.	19. Emon S. 50. Hasan Srabon M. (G) 18. Hossain J. 5. Hossain T. 44. Hossen M. S. 10. Jibon N. 27. Mollah S. (G) 24. Rahman Jony M. 42. Raksam S. 15. Uddin M. T. 28. Yousuf Ali M. 77. Yousuf Sifat A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Muzaffarov M. ⚽,
34', Hossain A. 🟨,
37', Rana S. 🟨,
45', Roy C. ↓, Emon S. ↑,
45+1', Yousuf Sifat A. 🟨,
45+3', Ghosh B. 🟨,
45+6', 1 - 1, Fahim M. ⚽, Hossain R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Hossain S. ↓, Uddin R. ↑,
67', Jewel M. ↓, Tudu R. ↑,
68', Rakib M. ↓, Haque A. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Dorielton ⚽, Fahim M. (A),
81', Mia R. ↓, Babu H. R. ↑,
90+3', Fahim M. ↓, Hossen M. S. ↑,
90+3', Uddin S. ↓, Uddin M. T. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mohammedan won 2.

Mohammedan is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bashundhara Kings is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bashundhara Kings may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bashundhara Kings is the team to beat.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mohammedan won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mohammedan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Mohammedan	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
9	Bashundara Kings	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mohammedan Dhaka
Bangladesh BFL
25.04.26	PWD SC - Mohammedan	1:3 ✺
17.04.26	Mohammedan - Fakirerpool YMC	0:1 ✺
10.04.26	Abahani Limited - Mohammedan	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Mohammedan - Bangladesh Police	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Mohammedan - Fortis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLTL
- Bashundhara Kings
Bangladesh BFL
25.04.26	Bashundhara Kings - Brothers Union	1:0 ✺
Bangladesh Federation Cup
21.04.26	Bangladesh Police - Bashundhara Kings	1:4 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
17.04.26	Rahmatganj - Bashundhara Kings	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Bashundhara Kings - Arambagh Krira Sangha	2:1 ✺
Bangladesh Federation Cup
07.04.26	Arambagh Krira Sangha - Bashundhara Kings	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Bangladesh Federation Cup
23.12.25	Bashundhara Kings - Mohammedan	0:0
Bangladesh BFL
12.12.25	Bashundhara Kings - Mohammedan	2:0
12.04.25	Bashundhara Kings - Mohammedan	1:2
06.12.24	Mohammedan - Bashundhara Kings	1:0
Bangladesh Federation Cup
22.05.24	Mohammedan - Bashundhara Kings	1:2 ET
Bangladesh BFL
11.05.24	Mohammedan - Bashundhara Kings	1:2
03.02.24	Bashundhara Kings - Mohammedan	0:1

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