Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 7 December 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 2
Hungary	Sport 2


	Arandina		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	6	3.75	1.6	Watch
	5.75	3.8	1.61	Watch
	5.5	3.75	1.62	Watch
	6.2	3.85	1.62
	5.7	3.58	1.62
	5.5	3.6	1.53	Watch
	6.1	3.9	1.58	Watch
	5.2	3.55	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.74 ↓ (7.79)	3.72 ↓ (4.73)	1.61 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arandina
16.3%

Draw
25.2%

Cádiz
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.8%

19.5%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.5%

19.1%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cádiz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cádiz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	5.6%	66.7%

Arandina - Cádiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Arandina will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Cádiz will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cádiz: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez A. (G) 19. Ochoa D. 4. Pesca J. 18. Marquez J. 22. Ceesay H. 6. Vitolo 11. Zazu (C) 15. Otu P. 10. Santa Cruz S. 7. El Battioui A. 20. Manzano K.	26. Aznar Ussen V. (G) 2. Zaldua J. 6. Jose Mari (C) 5. Chust V. 24. San Emeterio F. 19. Guardiola S. 27. Navarro R. 22. Mere J. 33. Lucas Pires 9. Negredo A. 10. Ocampo B.
Substitutes
12. Atomo 5. Bajo F. 17. Cabral R. 9. Frodo 13. Roberto Jara (G) 8. Rodriguez J. 14. Sanchez Alcaraz C.	20. Carcelen I. 28. Diakite M. 13. Gil D. (G) 25. Gomez M. 18. Machis D. 14. Mbaye M. 31. Miranda A. 30. Morata A. 7. Sobrino R.
Coaches
Izquierdo Cuadrado A.	Sergio

Preview

Arandina has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cádiz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arandina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cádiz have a series of guest games.

In this match Cádiz is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arandina CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.12.23	Real Avilés - Arandina	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Arandina - Real Oviedo B	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Pontevedra - Arandina	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Arandina - Coruxo	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Guijuelo - Arandina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga
04.12.23	Celta de Vigo - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
29.11.23	Mallorca - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Cádiz - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
16.11.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Cádiz	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
06.11.23	Getafe - Cádiz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTLWL

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