Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 15

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday


	Arandina		Rayo Cantabria

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.75
	2.45	3.2	2.8
	2.31	3.49	2.84
	2.32	3.49	2.84
	2.4	3.05	2.8
	2.4	3.05	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (4.5)	3.21 ↓ (3.39)	2.81 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arandina
38.7%

Draw
28.6%

Rayo Cantabria
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

26.3%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

25.2%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arandina's performance.

Rayo Cantabria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rayo Cantabria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arandina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Cantabria than the current prediction. (+23.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayo Cantabria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arandina - Rayo Cantabria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Arandina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rayo Cantabria is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arandina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arandina CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.12.23	Arandina - Cádiz	2:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.12.23	Real Avilés - Arandina	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Arandina - Real Oviedo B	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Pontevedra - Arandina	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Arandina - Coruxo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLTLL
- Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.12.23	Rayo Cantabria - Marino de Luanco	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Zamora - Rayo Cantabria	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	Real Avilés - Rayo Cantabria	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Rayo Cantabria - Real Oviedo B	5:1 ✺
05.11.23	Pontevedra - Rayo Cantabria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLWWT

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