Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium (Yerevan)

Referee: Rumsas D. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	1TV
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Portugal	Canal 11
Romania	Voyo
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ararat-Armenia		Universitatea Craiova

	1	X	2
	3.60	3.40	1.91	Watch
	4.00	3.30	1.98
	4.10	3.35	1.92	Watch
	4.02	3.38	2.04
	3.99	3.34	1.99	Watch
	3.95	3.30	1.95
	3.57	3.54	2.04	Watch
	3.85	3.40	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (3.75)	3.38 ↑ (3.33)	1.97 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ararat-Armenia
24.3%

Draw
27.9%

Universitatea Craiova
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

27.3%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

27.6%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ararat-Armenia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Universitatea Craiova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ararat-Armenia than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	14.3%	76.2%

Ararat Armenia - Universitatea Craiova Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Ararat-Armenia will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Uni Craiova will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Craiova: 58% – 94.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Craiova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Ararat-Armenia (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Ararat-Armenia (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ararat-Armenia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Uni Craiova (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 3. Junior Julio 43. Wilson Valdez B. R. 47. Malis A. 16. Grigoryan E. 2. Oliveira H. 19. Muradyan K. (C) 77. Serobyan A. 70. Benny 11. Banjaqui Z. 91. Sandro Lima	21. Popescu L. (G) 3. Romanchuk O. 24. Stevanovic N. 6. Screciu V. 17. Mora C. 8. Baluta T. 5. Mekvabishvili A. 11. Bancu N. (C) 20. Cicaldau A. 9. Al Hamlawi A. 10. Baiaram S.
Substitutes
90. Ayongo P. 6. Ayvazyan M. 8. Balanta J. A. 17. Carlier M. 9. Eloyan A. 95. Franca Carlos 5. Luis Felipe 25. Ndour A. 1. Nersesyan A. (G) 14. Pereira B. 7. Shaghoyan Z. 20. Tera A.	29. Basceanu L. 4. Cretu A. 12. Etim M. 19. Heriberto Tavares 30. Matei D. 1. Maxim A. (G) 7. Nsimba S. 18. Radulescu M. 90. Sava R. (G) 23. Teles 31. Webster R.
Coaches
Tulipa	Coelho F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Bancu N. 🟨,
62', Baluta T. ↓, Teles ↑,
70', Benny ↓, Franca Carlos ↑,
72', Al Hamlawi A. ↓, Nsimba S. ↑,
77', Banjaqui Z. ↓, Shaghoyan Z. ↑,
77', Serobyan A. ↓, Balanta J. A. ↑,
80', Wilson Valdez B. R. 🟨,
89', Baiaram S. ↓, Etim M. ↑,
90+2', Muradyan K. ↓, Carlier M. ↑,
90+2', Oliveira H. ↓, Tera A. ↑,
90+3', Nsimba S. 🟨,
90+7', Teles 🟨,
90+8', Sandro Lima (Penalty Awarded),
90+8', 1 - 0, Sandro Lima ⚽,
90+9', Shaghoyan Z. 🟨,
90+9', Sandro Lima 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ararat-Armenia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Uni Craiova has had a series of home games.

Uni Craiova could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ararat-Armenia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Ararat-Armenia: 0.28%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
33	Ararat-Armenia	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ararat-Armenia
Armenian Premier League
23.08.26	Ararat-Armenia - Sardarapat	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.08.26	Universitatea Craiova - Ararat-Armenia	1:1 ✺
Armenian Premier League
15.08.26	Ararat-Armenia - Van	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Celje - Ararat-Armenia	2:0 ✺
Armenian Premier League
07.08.26	Ararat-Armenia - Urartu Yerevan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTWLW
- CS Universitatea Craiova
Romanian SuperLiga
23.08.26	Universitatea Craiova - Voluntari	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.08.26	Universitatea Craiova - Ararat-Armenia	1:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
16.08.26	Oţelul Galaţi - Universitatea Craiova	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	Universitatea Craiova - KuPS Kuopio	2:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
09.08.26	Universitatea Craiova - Argeș Pitești	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
20.08.26	Universitatea Craiova - Ararat-Armenia	1:1

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